8 p.m. Saturday, Nov. 12, Guam time: Both Tropical Depression Ma-on and unnamed 28W appear to be flagging as they head west, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center has issued what they’re calling the final warnings on each system. 28W could regenerate, but not for a day or two. PST will take leave of these two and watch for signs of regeneration.

3:30 p.m. Friday, Nov. 11, Guam time: The 28th numbered storm of the season – and the 28th in just four months – has formed east-southeast of the Marianas Islands and is forecast to move in Guam’s general direction, passing 175 miles south of Naval Base “Big Navy” at about 5 a.m. Tuesday as a middling tropical storm, 63-mph sustained winds and 81-mph gusts at storm’s center.

Surprisingly for being so early in the life of a storm, model guidance is in tight agreement on a track just south of Guam, then toward the Philippines by next weekend. But it’s way too early to say definitively that far out. PST will keep an eye on 28W, and is also watching 27W, or Ma-on, which was just upgraded to a tropical storm but is forecast to die out by Tuesday south of Iwo Jima.

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Dave Ornauer has been employed by or assigned to Stars and Stripes Pacific almost continuously since March 5, 1981. He covers interservice and high school sports at DODEA-Pacific schools and manages the Pacific Storm Tracker.

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