Fung-wong upgraded to Category 1-equivalent typhoon, continuing northwest toward Philippines; latest forecast takes it over northern Luzon, curve close to Taiwan and possibly toward Okinawa next week. (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

10 p.m. Friday, Nov. 7, Philippines time: Fung-wong has been upgraded to a Category 1-equivalent typhoon. It remains on course to cut across north-central Luzon in the Philippines on Monday, making landfall as a possible Category 4-equivalent typhoon just past midnight Sunday, then curve later toward Taiwan. Still too soon to say if Japan’s southwestern islands might be impacted.

At 8 p.m. Philippines time, Fung-wong was about 985 miles east of Metro Manila and 1,110 miles south-southeast of Kadena Air Base, Okinawa, headed west-northwest at 12 mph and had strengthened to 75-mph sustained winds and 90-mph gusts at center.

If Fung-wong remains on present heading, JTWC still projects it to peak at 130-mph sustained winds and 160-mph gusts before making landfall over Luzon’s east coast just past midnight Sunday. It’s forecast to pass 75 miles north of Clark Air Base around 3 a.m. Monday, then emerge back over water west of Luzon as a Category 1-equivalent typhoon.

From there, model-track guidance and the GFS and Euro forecast ensembles and the JTWC forecast track generally agree on a north to northeast curve and weakening to a severe tropical storm along the way in the general direction of Taiwan and southeastern China. Some solutions take it into China, others into Taiwan, still more curving northeast toward Japan’s Yaeyama Islands and perhaps Okinawa. Stay tuned.