Midterm voter turnout strong, but still not stellar
By AMY ESKIND | Special to the Los Angeles Times | Published: November 28, 2018
Our democracy just won the trophy for Most Improved: The 49.4 percent voter turnout this month was higher than any midterm election in a century. But once we finish patting ourselves on the back, we need to look at the numbers again to take stock of what’s missing: half of the eligible voters in the United States.
We’re never going to see 100 percent voter turnout. But when half of the electorate is abstaining, we install elected officials who don’t necessarily represent the majority opinion. We can’t “vote the bums out” if we don’t vote.
Writ large, the electoral choices were pretty stark. Would President Donald Trump continue to govern with little check on his actions? Would the U.S. save health coverage for pre-existing conditions? Stop imprisoning migrants seeking asylum? Take action on climate change or gun violence? More than half of eligible voters didn’t record an opinion.
In California, where same-day registration makes it easy to cast a ballot, voters were weighing in on housing costs, water infrastructure, the governorship and congressional representatives. Still, of the 25.6 million Californians eligible to vote, 13 million sat on the sidelines.
Texas had a budding Democratic superstar challenging a former GOP presidential candidate in a $90 million Senate race. Outreach efforts were Herculean. The Beto O’Rourke campaign knocked on nearly 2 million doors and made more than 8.5 million phone calls to potential voters. O’Rourke told Rolling Stone, “What we are doing is the bar-none largest grass-roots registration, and contact, and conversation, and turnout operation that you’ve seen in the state of Texas. Ever.” And yet, with 46.1 percent turnout, almost 10 million eligible Texans did not vote.
In Florida, where contests for governor and senator were so close they ended in a recount, turnout was better: 54.3 percent. Still, 6.9 million voters abstained.
Smarting from 2016, Rock the Vote, Vote.org and other nonprofits and PACs used texts, social media, clever campaigns and partnerships to disseminate information about how to register and vote. Celebrities amplified the message to young people. Taylor Swift took a stand on social media. Rihanna wrote on Instagram, “Who is awake this morning? And who’s woke? Cause today is an extremely crucial day to the future of America!!! Today is the last day in 14 states to REGISTER TO VOTE…“ Voting became cool, but still two-thirds of those 18 to 29 didn’t heed the call.
Increasing turnout among young people is a conundrum: Research shows those contacted directly by candidates or other outreach campaigns are more likely to vote, but campaigns understandably focus their efforts on likely voters, not first-timers. Two-thirds of this age group were never contacted, according to researchers at Tufts University.
Outreach to the Latino community did a little better. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spent $30 million on reaching Latino voters this cycle. Voto Latino and other groups helped register voters. Univision, the largest media company serving the U.S. Spanish-speaking audience, launched Vota Conmigo (Vote With Me). Early voting figures showed Latino voter participation up 174 percent compared with the 2014 midterm, according to the Democratic committee. A quarter of those voters in 2018 said they were participating in a midterm election for the first time. It’s a step.
It doesn’t make sense to simply blame apathetic citizens. In a Pew Research Center survey a month before this election, 91 percent of respondents said voting was important. At the same time, only 73 percent said it was convenient and 70 percent said it was straightforward. And sure enough, those concerns played out across the country. Some states don’t allow early voting. Precincts were closed in some urban areas, or closed early, or ran out of ballots, or gave voters a hard time when their signatures weren’t an exact match. Machines were broken. Wait times could be hours long. Some potential voters were misinformed or confused about state-by-state ID requirements.
There is more work to do to make voting more accessible. The states with the highest turnout included two predominantly vote-by-mail states — Colorado (61.9 percent) and Oregon (61.3 percent) — so convenience certainly makes a difference. But even in perennial high-turnout Minnesota (64.3 percent this year), 1.4 million people out of 4 million eligible didn’t vote.
The United States has long professed the merits of democracy around the world, but we need to do better ourselves. Truly, we should aspire to rank among the top in turnout among developed countries. Belgium delivered 90 percent turnout in its last election (but voting is compulsory there). Sweden (where voting is optional) had a turnout this year of 87 percent.
Of course, those countries are much, much smaller than the U.S., and their populations are more homogeneous. But having 80 percent or more eligible voters cast a ballot is a reasonable goal for us. For the U.S. to deserve a Democracy trophy, and not just Most Improved, we must aim higher. Yes, more than 116 million voted, but almost 120 million didn’t.
Amy Eskind is a freelance writer in Washington.