9:30 p.m. Monday, March 3, Guam time: In about three hours, Tropical Storm Faxai will pass some 310 miles east of Andersen Air Force Base. Guam should get some strong winds and rain squalls, very typical of what the island sees year-round, but according to a local advisory, tropical storm-force winds extend only about 70 miles outward from Faxai's center. Faxai should continue north briefly before curving northeast away from the Northern Marianas. Unless something drastic happens or changes, PST out.
Tropical Storm 03W (Faxai), #4
1:15 a.m. Monday, March 3, Guam time: Finally, Tropical Storm Faxai appears to be gaining some direction definition, starting to move north and now appears as if she (Laotian lady's name) will pass further east of Guam than previous projections.
Joint Typhoon Warning Center's latest advisory now forecasts Faxai to pick up forward speed and track 325 miles east of Andersen Air Force Base by 7 p.m. Monday, packing significant tropical storm-strength winds of 63-mph sustained and 81-mph gusts as it passes east of the island. Local forecasts say tropical storm-strength winds extend 70 miles from Faxai's center.
PST will advise of any changes. No watches or warnings are in effect at this time.
Tropical Storm 03W (Faxai), # 3
7:30 p.m. Sunday, March 2, Guam time: What a strange ride this is becoming. The center of Tropical Storm Faxai has traveled in a complete circle over the last three days. It remains nearly 400 miles southeast of Guam, and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's latest forecast track has Faxai peaking at Category 1-equivalent strength, 75-mph sustained winds and 92-mph gusts, early Tuesday. JTWC also has Faxai tracking some 225 miles east of Andersen Air Force Base at about 2 a.m. Tuesday. Local forecasts say tropical-storm winds extend about 70 miles outward from storm's center. No watches or warnings are in effect for Guam at this time. Everything depends on whether and when steering influences will push Faxai onto a northerly path. As always, PST will keep a sharp eye on things.
Tropical Storm 03W (Faxai), #2
2:45 p.m. Saturday, March 1, Guam time: This is a strange one. Faxai was upgraded to tropical-storm status overnight Friday, but it's drifting well southeast of Guam and at times is sitting quasi-stationary thanks to two competing steering influences, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's latest advisory.
Dynamic model guidance is all over the yard at this point. JTWC favors a more northerly track starting sometime Saturday evening, but they're also saying a westward shift toward Guam may be possible as well.
JTWC's latest forecast track calls for Faxai (Laotian for a lady's name) to pass 275 miles east of Andersen Air Force Base at 3 p.m. Monday, at which time it will be packing sustained 63-mph winds and 81-mph gusts at its center. Local weather forecasts call for showers and thunderstorms and winds of about 15 mph gusting to 25 mph.
PST will keep monitoring.