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Tropical Storm 05E (Darby), # 7 FINAL

<br>NOAA.gov

Midnight Sunday, July 24, Hawaii time: Darby is knifing its way between Kauai and Oahu, and should soon be past its closest point of approach 34 miles northeast of Barking Sands. Expect tropical storm warnings to be canceled soon. This is PST's last update on Tropical Storm Darby, which is expected to die out northwest of the 50th state in the coming days.

6 p.m. Sunday, July 24, Hawaii time: Tropical Storm Darby continues to lash the 50th state's principal island of Oahu and its U.S. military facilities with winds and heavy rain, but is moving steadily northwest, according to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center.

Tropical storm warning has been canceled for Molokai, Maui and Hawaii. Tropical storm warning remains in effect for Niihau, Kauai and Oahu until further notice, the National Weather Service reports.

NWS over the weekend reported wind gusts between 50 and 60 mph and waves between 15 and 25 feet, mainly on the Big Island, which took Darby's brunt. Darby is forecast to brush Kauai just southwest of Barking Sands and Lihue, still packing sustained 35-mph winds and 46-mph gusts as it passes, CPHC reports.

At least 5 inches of rain fell on the Big Island, which should help out a region that's been parched by drought, AccuWeather.com reported. Sporadic power outages and downed tree lines are still expected. A brown water advisory is in effect for the Big Island and Maui. Up to 8 inches of rain fell in West Wailuku and several highways were shut down, Weather.com reported.

Here's a list of closures and cancellations.

Midnight Saturday, July 23, Hawaii time: Tropical Storm Darby has pushed back over water just south of Maui and continues its zig-zag walk which is projected to take it south of the 50th state's principal island of Oahu, then hit Kauai before dying out by the middle of next week. A tropical storm warning remains up for all of Hawaii's islands along with a flood warning; up to 5 inches of rain is expected in the coming two days.

6:30 p.m. Saturday, July 23, Hawaii time: Tropical Storm Darby has rumbled ashore over the Big Island, and is diminishing as it makes its way northwest on a trajectory taking is just south of the 50th state’s principal island of Oahu and its U.S. military facilities. Darby continues to pack sustained 40-mph winds and 52-mph gusts at center and should maintain that strength as it passes some 30 miles southwest of Barbers Point around 2 p.m. Sunday. A tropical storm warning remains in effect for all island except Kauai, where a tropical storm watch is up.
 


Midnight Friday, July 22, Hawaii time: A tropical storm warning remain in effect for Hawaii, Molokai and Maui as Darby approaches the 50th state, with a direct hit now forecast for the Big Island and U.S. facilities on the principal island of Oahu over the weekend, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Weather.com report.

At 9 p.m. nearing the 12th day of its existence, Darby was 177 miles east-southeast of Oahu, headed west-northwest at 12 mph packing sustained 58-mph winds and 75-mph gusts.

If it remains on its forecast track, Darby should make landfall at mid-afternoon Saturday just south of Hilo, then make its way northwest, right over Camp H.M. Smith on Oahu at around 6 p.m. Sunday, still packing sustained 46-mph winds and 58-mph gusts at center. Expect high surf and plenty of rain, up to 5 inches on the Big Island. PST will keep watch throughout the weekend.
 


Tropical Depression 03W, # 2 FINAL

12:30 p.m. Monday, July 18, Japan time: Well, that didn't last long.

Tropical Depression 03W is dying out quickly; didn't even hang around long enough to acquire a name (it would have been called Lupit, as the next tropical cyclone will be).

Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued its second and final bulletin on 03W late last evening.

Kadena Air Base's Shogunweather.com forecasts scattered and isolated showers and thunderstorms over the next two days, 10-mph sustained winds and gusts up to 17 mph. But that should be about it. Unless something changes, consider this PST's last missive on 03W.

6 p.m. Sunday, July 17, Japan time: The bad news: The third numbered tropical cyclone of the northwest Pacific's season has formed, a tropical depression 450 miles south-southeast of Okinawa and tracking north-northwest at 9 mph.

The good news (if there is such a thing regarding tropical cyclones): 03W is forecast to remain a middling to weak tropical depression. Its forecast track has it knifing between Okinawa and Miyako, passing 166 miles southwest of Kadena Air Base at mid-afternoon Monday, packing sustained 23-mph winds and 35-mph gusts as it rolls past.

PST has an eye on it, in case it generates into something bigger and more powerful.


2:45 p.m. Sunday, July 17, Japan time: A tropical cyclone formation alert has been issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center on a disturbance some 500 miles south-southeast of Kadena Air Base on Okinawa. Right now, models show it headed northwest and becoming and briefly remaining naught more than a tropical depression before dissipating. These things can change, though. PST has an eye on it.

Typhoon 02W (Nepartak), #16 FINAL

Nepartak completed its third day of existence by becoming the first super typhoon of the northwest Pacific’s tropical cyclone season, and is taking dead aim at Taipei, Taiwan’s capital.<br>NOAA.gov
Nepartak completed its third day of existence by becoming the first super typhoon of the northwest Pacific’s tropical cyclone season, and is taking dead aim at Taipei, Taiwan’s capital.

5:45 p.m. Friday, July 8, Taiwan time: Nepartak has exited southern Taiwan and has entered the Formosa Strait, steadily weakening as it continues interacting with land on its east and west sides and heads toward secondary landfall around mid-day Saturday over southeastern China. At least two were killed and more than 65 injured during the eight hours Nepartak spent over Taiwan, the BBC reported. Some 15,000 were forced from their homes, 270,000 suffered power loss and hundreds of flights were canceled. In the Philippines, Public Storm Warning Signal 1 has been pulled down for the northern Babuyan islands. Barring a drastic change, this should be PST's last report on Typhoon Nepartak.

11:15 a.m. Friday, July 8, Taiwan time: It’s happening. Nepartak has been downgraded to a regular ol’, run-of-the-mill typhoon, in the Category 2-equivalent range. It makes its way ashore over southern Taiwan at about 6 a.m., and is still packing sustained 104-mph winds and 127-mph gusts as it crawls over the south part of the island. Nepartak should make its way back over water, over the Formosa Strait, later Friday and make secondary landfall over southeastern China late Saturday morning before dying out. In the Philippines, Public Storm Warning Signal 1 remains up for the Babuyan islands.

5:15 a.m. Friday, July 8, Taiwan time: Closer, ever closer, Nepartak gets to landfall over south-central Taiwan, and even as it begins encountering land, the thing remains a very dangerous Category 4-equivalent super typhoon, packing 150-mph sustained winds and 184-mph gusts as it closes in on shore. Nepartak’s storm center should crash ashore sometime mid-Friday morning, gradually deteriorating as it crosses the island, the Formosa Strait and make secondary landfall over southeastern China Saturday afternoon.

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Tropical disturbance remains, but weak

8 a.m. Monday, June 27, Philippines time: That tropical disturbance is still there, but remains weak and disorganized after passing overnight Sunday into Monday over mountainous Luzon island in the northern Philippines. It could reorganize and restrengthen and still has the potential to become a tropical cyclone. PST remains watchful. Joint Typhoon Warning Center terminated the tropical cyclone formation alert associated with the disturbance at 8 a.m.

10 a.m. Sunday, June 26, Philippines time:A disturbance headed northwest into Luzon, the Philippines’ northernmost main island, could become the first numbered system of the northwest Pacific’s tropical cyclone season.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center issued a tropical cyclone formation alert at 8 a.m. on the system, about 345 miles east of Manila, headed northwest.

JTWC indicated the system could develop quickly into a tropical depression, though global models suggest only a weak circulation coming ashore over mountainous Luzon in the next day or so.

PST is keeping an eye on it.

No time to get complacent

5:20 p.m. Wednesday, June 8, Japan time: Well, well, no numbered tropical cyclones to this point of the northwest Pacific typhoon season. When last year at this time, we'd already seen six. And we're closing in on the longest period recorded between named storms on record: 198 days, between Dec. 22, 1997, and July 7, 1998.

All quiet on the northwestern front? No time to get complacent, PST warns.

In fact, this is undoubtedly the best time to ensure that folks are prepared for the worst. For on Okinawa and parts south in this region, a typhoon can form with almost no warning. Such was the case in September 2003, when Choi-Wan formed almost out of nowhere, and right over the island, land sakes alive.

U.S. bases on Okinawa went from Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 4 to TCCOR 1 in almost the blink of an eye. And so the run on the Shoppettes, Exchanges and commissaries commenced, almost in the blink of an eye.

So, campers, take special care to ensure you're prepared.

Check your closet. What's inside? A goodly supply of non-perishable foods is a start. Got a flashlight? A portable radio, be it a windup or one that takes batteries? How about those bats? Got a fresh supply? Maybe time to grab some diapers for the little'uns in the fam. Maybe replenish that supply of pet food for your furry friends, be they leashed, caged or roaming free.

Enough things in the closet to suffice as activities for the children, be they teens or wee'uns? Board games? Yep, they still sell those at the Four Seasons on base. Nothing like a good game of Monopoly to pass the time. And they still work even after the power goes off.

Until that happens, nothing wrong with checking the DVDs to see if that copy of Band of Brothers is still there. And many folks carry a goodly collection of online movies and TV series to keep them occupied.

When that time comes, when a tropical cyclone forms and the projections predict the worst, make sure you make plenty of time to make commissary, PX and Shoppette runs. Ensure that the hibachi, bicycles and trampolines can be dismantled, stored or tied down securely. They can become dangerous projectiles in high winds.

Include a visit to the gasoline stand to fill up the tank, and definitely stop at the bank or the ATM to get enough cash and local currency to last at least three days. When the power goes off, no telling when it might come back on.

Make a point to click on the links in the right side of the menu while there's plenty of time to study the TCCORs and what they mean, and what other things you can do around house and home to prepare in advance for storms before they arrive.

Get your safe on!
 

UPDATE: Tropical cyclone formation alert canceled

2 p.m. Friday, May 27, Hong Kong time: Joint Typhoon Warning Center downgraded the area of convection south of Hong Kong to medium, canceled the tropical cyclone formation alert and says the disturbance should plow into land late Friday and die out. Guess we'll have to wait for the first numbered tropical cyclone of the season.

2:45 p.m. Thursday, May 26, Hong Kong time: Joint Typhoon Warning Center has issued a tropical cyclone formation alert on a disturbance about 325 miles south of Hong Kong. It could become the first numbered system in the 2016 northwest Pacific tropical cyclone season, which has been relatively quiet until now.

JTWC and the Pacific Tropical Cyclone Centre project Disturbance 90W heading north, with squalls and showers forecast for Hong Kong and Macau over the next couple of days. PST will keep a sharp lookout.

Tropical cyclone season upon us once more

4 p.m. Wednesday, May 25, Japan time: In just a few days, June 1, we can expect the commanding officer of Kadena Air Base's 18th Wing to issue seasonal Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 4 for all U.S. installations on Okinawa.

That signals the start of the six-month northwest Pacific tropical cyclone season, the time when tropical depressions, tropical storms, typhoons and super typhoons are most likely to occur in this part of the world.

TCCOR 4 typically means that 58-mph winds are possible within 72 hours. For folks in the tropics, it quite literally means they're in an area when tropical cyclones can spawn quickly, sometimes with no or very little warning.

Such occurred in mid-September 2003 when what became Typhoon Choi-Wan spawned quite literally right over Okinawa, and U.S. bases went from TCCOR 4 straight to TCCOR 1. Caused quite the sudden run on the commissaries, exchanges and shoppettes.

U.S. bases in Japan's main islands and Korea for the most part remain in TCCOR All Clear until conditions warrant upgraded TCCORs. Guam, along the 13th parallel, remains in TCCOR 4 year-round.

Pacific Storm Tracker will keep a strident, vigilant watch on the northwest Pacific region, as it does in all areas of the world's largest ocean throughout the year. It's about alerting the masses and keeping them safe.

Nothing that says one should not begin preparations for the worst as early as possible. Give the links in the menu on the right side of this page a good read. Know and understand what the TCCORs mean, and the steps one should take to prepare for an eventual typhoon.

Get your safe on!

Tropical Cyclone 20P, # 1

7:05 p.m. Tuesday, April 19, Samoa time: A tropical cyclone has formed north of Fiji, and according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's forecast track will head just west of Samoa sometime over the weekend.

JTWC projects 20P to track 66 miles west-southwest of Pago Pago at about 2 a.m. Sunday Samoa time, packing sustained 58-mph winds and 75-mph gusts at center. Storm Tracker will keep an eye on it.

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula), # 1 FINAL

10:25 p.m. Thursday, Dec. 31, American Samoa time: Ula has been upgraded to a tropical cyclone by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center and could lash American Samoa with heavy rain and winds between 30 and 40 mph with 55-mph gusts, according to Samoa News online.

JTWC reported Ula was forecast to pass 135 miles southeast of Pago Pago Thursday afternoon, but the more fierce winds and rainbands are on storm’s back side.

Tropical Depression 09C, # 2 FINAL

09C forecast to cross date line by New Year, head in general direction of Micronesian islands.<br>NOAA.gov
09C forecast to cross date line by New Year, head in general direction of Micronesian islands.

2 a.m. Saturday, Jan. 2, Guam time: Final warning has been issued on short-lived Tropical Depression 09C by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center. The last tropical cyclone of the northern Pacific season simply failed to develop or gather any sort of steam; it even failed to cross the International Date Line as earlier forecast. PST will keep an eye out for redevelopment.


4 p.m. Thursday, Dec. 31, Guam time: The tropical disturbance southeast of Majuro is now subject of a tropical cyclone warning. Tropical Depression 09C is headed northwest, is forecast by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center to cross the International Date Line by New Year and head in the general direction of Majuro and Kwajalein southeast of Guam. PST has an eye on it and will see where it heads from there.


 
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About the Author


Dave Ornauer has been with Stars and Stripes since March 5, 1981. One of his first assignments as a beat reporter in the old Japan News Bureau was “typhoon chaser,” a task which he resumed virtually full time since 2004, the year after his job, as a sports writer-photographer, moved to Okinawa and Ornauer with it.

As a typhoon reporter, Ornauer pores over Web sites managed by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center as well as U.S. government, military and local weather outlets for timely, topical information. Pacific Storm Tracker is designed to take the technical lingo published on those sites and simplify it for the average Stripes reader.