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They might possess gaudy records, but beneath those numbers lie trends that could prove disturbing for coaches and teams preparing for the Far East football playoffs.
Take Zama American, 6-2 this season. In the Trojans’ first four games, three of them victories, they outscored opponents 126-85. Their wing-T rushing attack piled up 1,584 yards on 225 carries — 7.04 yards per carry.
But in three games since beating Yokota 33-6 at home on Oct. 2, Zama is 2-1 and has rushed for just 445 yards on 129 carries — 3.45 yards per carry.
"We need to get back to blocking like we were," coach Steven Merrell said, adding that he and his staff have been viewing film, breaking down schemes, execution and assignments. "If we execute our blocks better, we could do better."
Zama and Merrell hoped to find that cure in time for Saturday’s Class A title game at Daegu American, whose school-best 6-1 overall record on the surface might demonstrate a dominant campaign. But a closer look reveals anything but.
Toss out that 37-14 victory the first time they met Osan American at home on Sept. 25. Daegu came from behind to win four of its five other league games, and counting its 28-26 loss on Oct. 24 at Osan, Daegu outscored its foes by just 15 points.
"Very tight. We have a competitive league. I don’t think there’s a big gap between our teams," Warriors coach Ken Walter said. He pointed to how Daegu beat Seoul American last season but missed the Class A title game, while the Falcons went on to win their second Class AA crown.
Zama at Daegu is a contrast in styles, pitting the big, physical Trojans against the small, fleet Warriors — who are used to bigger teams, having played Osan and Seoul American during the regular season.
Quarterback Trey Griffen, running back Antoine "Flash" Feagin and receiver David Martinez fuel Walter’s spread-option set. Running backs Michael Spencer, Ashton Norwood and Ryan Blackstock and QB Mike Jorgenson key Merrell’s wing-T attack.
Conditioning and finishing, Walter said, will be keys. After Daegu’s 30-28 overtime victory Friday over Osan, which clinched the Warriors’ playoff berth, Cougars coach Mike Miano e-mailed Walter, telling him: "You guys know how to close out a game."
"We’ve conditioned well," Walter said. "That helped us avoid injury."
That’s especially important, he said, because of Daegu’s thin numbers. Two years ago, when the Warriors lost the Class A title game 27-6 to Edgren, Daegu had to cut its roster from 35 to 25. This year, Walter had to add five jayvees to his 20-man varsity roster.
"We’re pretty thin," Walter said. "Seven or eight of us don’t come out of the ballgame."
That’s pretty much the case with Kadena of Okinawa, which carried 20 players on its varsity. Kadena, Yokota of Japan, Seoul American and Guam High will play in the first all-in-one-location Class AA playoff at Kubasaki’s Mike Petty Stadium on Okinawa.
The first semifinal features a Far East football playoff first — two teams that faced one another in the regular season playing again in the playoffs. Kadena (6-0) plays Yokota (6-4) Monday; Kadena won 35-0 on Oct. 17 at Yokota.
But Kadena coach Sergio Mendoza refuses to take anything for granted.
"It’s not lost on us that they’re a good program, a class program," Mendoza said. "We’re not going to take them lightly. They’re well-coached, disciplined and they’ll be ready to play."
It will be a matchup of running-back tandems: Gerald McCloud and DeEric Harvin for Yokota against Kadena’s Shariff Coleman and Thomas McDonald.
Kadena’s only two losses since 2006 have come in Class AA title games: at Seoul American, 12-6 in overtime in 2006; and 22-21 last November.
The other semifinal, to be played Tuesday, pits Seoul American against Guam High, and the teams’ records might be misleading. The two-time Class AA champion Falcons stumbled to a 1-4 mark; the Panthers finished a school-best second in the Interscholastic Football League.
Guam High’s "Three Caballeros," quarterback Aaron Cosey, running back Jason Brunson and receiver Devon Jacobs, will face the Falcons’ wing-T offense keyed by senior running back Demetrius Johnson and freshman quarterback Brandon Morton.
"It’s a whole new season. It’s a whole new ballgame," Falcons coach Alan Morton said. "We have yet to peak. We’re going to come in there with all we have. We just have to believe we can win."
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