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Tuesday, September 25, 2001

Chorus grows against military
intervention in Afghanistan

RAF MILDENHALL, England — American cruise missiles and ground troops are not useful weapons in a war on terrorism, some people have started saying about any military intervention in Afghanistan.

"You can go in and rearrange a hell of a lot of sand and rock [with bombs and missiles], but what is accomplished?" asked retired Rear Adm. Eugene Carroll, vice president emeritus of the Center for Defense Information in Washington, D.C.

Carroll cautioned, too, against any ground force. Not only will land mines be a major factor, he said, but the Afghan Taliban fighters have the advantage of the terrain, which they know intimately.

"They’ll be behind you and around you and attack when they want to attack," he said. "Osama bin Laden is not going to be found. How can you shoot terrorists when you can’t find them?"

Historian Arthur Schlesinger Jr. joined the chorus Sunday with an opinion piece in the Los Angeles Times, claiming military intervention would serve the plans of bin Laden when it failed to dislodge him or his Al Qaeda network.

"It would only demonstrate once again the impotence of the American superpower," the double Pulitzer Prize winner wrote.

Such an attack, he wrote, would push moderate Muslims toward hatred of the U.S. and produce a new generation of suicide bombers.

The historian and former adviser to President Kennedy said Afghanistan is "famous for its unconquerability," a lesson learned by the British Empire and the Soviet Union.

"American troops in Afghanistan would be even more baffled and beset than they were a third of a century ago in Vietnam," Schlesinger wrote.

Schlesinger prefers to see the Bush administration spend its energy rallying the support of the moderate Muslim states, convincing them that the fundamentalists who use terrorism are not in their best interest.

To allow the situation to become a clash of civilizations, he wrote, would be a catastrophe.

"Bin Laden has set a trap for the United States," he wrote. "Let us not walk into it."

Jay Farrar, an analyst for the Center for Strategic and International Studies in London, does not expect combat despite the talk and the movement of troops and war equipment to the region.

"I think the possibilities are very remote," he said. "The reality that we’re talking about here is, there is very little a conventional military force can do."

The positioning of troops, aircraft and ships is not a bad idea, he said. It allows the U.S. to react if necessary without telegraphing the punch.

But, he said, just because the force is there doesn’t mean it has to be used. America’s military planners are aware of the difficulties of any attack.

"I think things will calm down," he said.


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