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Monday, November 12, 20018

N. Koreans tie progress on reunion
talks to lifting of South's military alert

The Korean peace process was thrown into further jeopardy Saturday.

Pyongyang told Seoul that the North will not agree to further reunions of families separated by the Korean War until a South Korean military alert is lifted.

The demand came during the second day of ministerial-level talks at the North’s Mount Kumgang resort, just north of the Demilitarized Zone. Saturday’s session lasted only 40 minutes, half as long as Friday’s initial session, a Unification Ministry spokesman in Seoul said.

The South’s military alert was called after the Sept. 11 attacks in the United States, and Seoul repeatedly told Pyong-yang it is aimed only at guarding against terrorist action.

Pyongyang officials contend the alert is aimed at the North. The North abruptly canceled October family reunions because of the alert.

Rescheduling the reunions is the South’s most important goal in the current conference. It also seeks to discuss restoring rail service between the two countries, building cross-border highways at the western and eastern ends of the DMZ, and economic cooperation with Pyongyang.

The North’s stand makes it appear none of those issues could be discussed at least until Sunday, if at all. The talks are scheduled to end Monday.

There also has been no progress made in another important matter: a meeting between its delegation chief, Unification Minister Hong Soon-young, and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il. The goal would be to persuade Kim to set a date for a visit to the South that he promised during last year’s Inter-Korean Summit.

The South considers that to be a key to unraveling the 50 years of bitterness separating the Koreas. No meetings have been scheduled.

Meanwhile, the Texas-based intelligence-gathering firm, Stratfor, issued an analysis three weeks ago about the North. Stratfor said the Japan Red Army’s recent removal from a U.S. list of international terrorist organizations may have given the North the impression that Washington wanted to reopen talks. Pyongyang is hoping to be removed from the U.S. list of states that sponsor terrorism.

Washington said expelling Japan Red Army terrorists is a step toward being removed from the state-sponsored terrorism list. Pyongyang has harbored the terrorists for 31 years.

Removing the JRA from the terrorist list, the analysis said, could have made Pyongyang decide to give only lip service to reconciliation with the South and instead focus on being removed from the terrorism-sponsor list. Being removed from the list — which it has been on for 14 years — would free the North from sanctions that prevent it from receiving international loans to meet economic hardships.

Other analysts agree.

"That certainly could be its aim," said Gerald Lee, who heads the conservative think tank The Foundation for National Strategy and Cultural Studies. "Pyongyang is more interested in talking to Washington than to Seoul, albeit on its own terms."

The United States has been trying to restart dialogue with Pyongyang since June.

That dialogue, which was warming during the final days of the Clinton administration, came to an abrupt halt in January when President Bush was inaugurated and launched a comprehensive review of U.S. policy toward Pyongyang.

Last week, U.S. Ambassador to South Korea Thomas Hubbard reiterated that Washington wants to reopen talks with Pyongyang and is ready to do so "any time, any place and without preconditions."


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