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Wednesday, March 21, 2001

Decline of Japanese yen, Korean won could mean smaller COLA in Pacific

Stars and Stripes

Military and DOD civilian employees in the Pacific could see a drop in their paychecks in the coming months.

The Korean won and Japanese yen have fallen in relation to the U.S. dollar in recent weeks as Japan’s Nikkei stock index has hit 16-year lows.

U.S. investors’ fears over Japan’s weak banking system have weakened the yen to the point where it takes more than 120 to equal one dollar. That’s a 10 percent change in a little more than a month. The yen’s decline has strengthened the U.S. dollar in other countries, including Korea, a Bank of Korea analyst said.

That means cost of living allowances, for military members, and post allowances, for DOD civilians, could be going down soon. Both pay rates are affected by the exchange rates in the host country, as well as by the cost of goods there, according to the U.S. Office of Personnel Management Web site.

Foreign exchange rates are monitored by the Defense Department’s Per Diem Committee. As the amount of foreign currency a dollar "buys" changes, the committee increases or decreases cost-of-living allowances to maintain its purchasing power.

When the yen or won rates fall, the price military members pay for food, clothing and other items off base goes down. Therefore, cost-of-living allowances and post allowances tend to fall, the Web site said.

In South Korea, the won fell to 1,300 won to one U.S dollar on the foreign exchange market, a two-year low. Currency experts say they expect the U.S. dollar to remain high for at least the next few days.

The dollar opened at 1,295 won Monday, but immediately began creeping upward. By early afternoon, it reached 1,300.40 won, sending many U.S. military personnel, U.S. government civilians and their family members scurrying to money changers.

It was the first time since Nov. 18, 1998, that the dollar has broached the 1,300 won level. At one point Monday afternoon, money changers in Pyongtaek, where Osan Air Base and Camp Humphreys are located, were changing dollars at 1,307 won.

The market closed at 1,299.20 won to the dollar Monday, but Pyongtaek money changers said they expected the rate to rise above 1,300-to-one again on Tuesday. The exchange rate for the won was set at 1,269 for Wednesday.

The yen exchange rate at Community Banks in Japan was 119 yen to the U.S. dollar.

Analysts for the Bank of Korea and several commercial banks attributed the dollar’s rise to a slip in the value of the Japanese yen and shaky stock markets.

"The Bank of Japan has made no decision on cutting interest rates, and the won’s value is closely tied to the value of the yen," an analyst for the Hanvit Bank said.

He predicted the dollar would remain high against the won and yen "for the immediate future. It’ll hover around 1,300 won to the dollar, maybe a bit higher."

Osan bureau chief Jim Lea contributed to this report.


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