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Saturday, April 28, 2001

Security expert says others' resentment,
jealousy will pose threat to U.S.

ANNAPOLIS, Md. — Resentment and jealousy on the part of other nations will be the United States’ biggest national security concern for the coming decades, said a security expert.

The antipathy could lead to attacks with weapons of mass destruction, such as chemical or biological warfare, or more likely by "weapons of mass disruption," such as computer attacks, said retired Air Force Gen. Charles Boyd, executive director for the U.S. Commission on National Security/21st Century.

"We learned from our travels of the world that a lot of people are resentful of the U.S.," Boyd told members of United States Naval Institute gathered here Wednesday for their annual meeting.

The nation already has experienced the near-debilitating effects of computer viruses that disrupt systems and have sent waves of panic through the technology world.

Terrorists and rogue nations seeking to harm the United States know that vulnerability and easily could facilitate an attack, Boyd said.

The 14-member commission, chartered in 1998 and made up of military personnel, ambassadors, civilian contractors, the press and former members of Congress, spent a bulk of its mission traveling to 28 countries to measure sentiments toward America.

The panel recently gave its report to Congress and the White House, and members currently are testifying in hearings on Capitol Hill.

"There’s more excitement than I thought there’d be," said Boyd, who as a general served as vice commander of Strategic Air Command’s 8th Air Force, as director of plans at Air Force headquarters and commander of Air University.

The United States isn’t as popular worldwide as once thought, Boyd said.

America will remain the principal military power in the world through 2025, and will stay strong economically, politically and culturally, Boyd said. Its leaders will help in "shaping the international environment" during the coming decades and can’t afford to go wrong, he added.

Though the panel focused on national security issues, it also made predictions. It reported that the world will rely more and more on science and technology, and fossil fuels will remain the world’s energy supply.

Both factors will be key in determining how and why nations will engage in conflicts and wars, he said.

Governments won’t be the sole world shapers, the panel concluded. The future also will be bent by the growth of nongovernmental organizations, such as refugee aid organizations and religious, ethnic and environmental advocacy groups.

When addressing the issue of national security, Boyd said the panel concluded U.S. leaders need to slightly shift focus from foreign affairs to homeland defense.

"America will become increasingly vulnerable to hostile attacks on our homeland, and our military superiority will not entirely protect us," reads a portion of the report.

Though the United States will remain the world’s superpower, Americans, both civilian and in the military, will be vulnerable to attacks both within its borders and overseas, Boyd said.

"States, terrorists and other disaffected groups will acquire weapons of mass destruction and mass disruption, and some will use them," the report reads. "Americans will likely die on American soil, possibly in large numbers."

The panel predicted technology will divide the world as much as draw it together, creating "a transnational cyberclass of people."

"An antitechnology backlash is possible, and even likely, as the adoption of emerging technologies creates new moral, cultural and economic divisions," the panelists wrote.

It won’t be just shores and land at risk, they said. Nations will continue to compete for use of outer space for both commercial and military purposes. They will use space for global communication, reconnaissance and placement of weapons.

"Despite the proliferation of highly sophisticated and remote means of attack, the essence of war will remain the same," the panelists wrote. "There will be casualties, carnage and death; it will not be like a video game."


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